Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 166.975299 193.827010 224.921724 263.903265 311.903921 369.654317 4.452743e+02
2025-07-06 129.792302 162.658040 204.743503 263.721594 346.125461 460.170749 6.355624e+02
2025-07-13 114.937499 152.131471 203.377701 281.529481 402.245521 590.071170 9.234284e+02
2025-07-20 105.674352 146.162504 205.392637 302.413025 466.066197 749.585932 1.327999e+03
2025-07-27 94.784520 135.523780 197.913930 306.005887 501.804858 873.130595 1.730430e+03
2025-08-03 87.189654 128.410348 194.200083 314.232622 546.855294 1028.977147 2.293724e+03
2025-08-10 79.629917 120.150893 187.068304 314.594023 576.575834 1164.290107 2.902090e+03
2025-08-17 73.995286 114.204597 182.777870 319.036051 615.437324 1335.848358 3.755121e+03
2025-08-24 68.351240 107.510123 176.128088 317.444655 640.622832 1484.929824 4.683209e+03
2025-08-31 63.682391 101.941823 170.704402 317.205666 668.832315 1655.763079 5.894703e+03
2025-09-07 60.256048 98.174261 168.092836 322.330980 711.713174 1892.283646 7.739490e+03
2025-09-14 55.032567 90.633025 157.316875 307.625655 699.356099 1947.689456 8.756223e+03
2025-09-21 51.292456 85.854053 152.151631 306.610869 729.602989 2189.087527 1.154786e+04
2025-09-28 47.919449 81.478285 147.364506 305.961889 762.515905 2473.512645 1.560713e+04
2025-10-05 46.845608 81.364140 151.314824 327.489675 871.840083 3176.306240 2.682858e+04
2025-10-12 46.057396 81.698399 156.246643 352.852991 1007.065261 4173.992745 5.085584e+04
2025-10-19 43.787574 78.785284 153.582007 357.226503 1071.381969 4889.528828 8.117601e+04
2025-10-26 42.097079 76.886218 152.952490 367.251455 1163.274256 5930.140101 1.472956e+05
2025-11-02 39.973529 73.865239 149.307067 367.692186 1217.601331 6817.936703 2.505153e+05
2025-11-09 38.319636 71.692332 147.411050 373.111556 1297.702689 8094.489263 5.022971e+05
2025-11-16 36.417172 68.807504 143.426684 371.169536 1344.276954 9198.447861 9.733824e+05
2025-11-23 34.758098 66.318537 140.140510 370.877937 1400.241034 10575.362771 2.230180e+06
2025-11-30 33.535306 64.699427 138.869168 377.134149 1495.207441 12746.287392 8.170082e+06